跑馬地 · 2024-05-01 · 13:12
第 6場
2024-05-01跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUMBO LEGEND勝出，贏出N。JOYFUL PROSPERITY獲得亞軍；PACKING WISHER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門KASA PAPA跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND 後段發力 H/TT 1.40.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 9.5 | N |
| 2 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 CP2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 3 | 7 | PACKING WISHER B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | TO INFINITY 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 9 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NORTHERN BEAST A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO XB-/H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING SEVEN XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN 早段領放 B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | KYEEMA TT1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 38.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 1 | APOLAR FIGHTER B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 85.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TOP TOP TEA · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 23.5% | 4.25 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | KASA PAPA | 16.9% | 5.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | NORTHERN BEAST | 12.1% | 8.27 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO | 6.9% | 14.44 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND | 6.5% | 15.42 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.7% | 21.11 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | TO INFINITY | 3.7% | 27.03 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | PACKING WISHER | 3.0% | 33.56 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | KYEEMA | 1.7% | 60.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | WINNING SEVEN | 1.4% | 70.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 0.6% | 154.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 95
PLACE
4 28.5
7 29.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 226.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 185.5
4,10 78
7,10 80.5
FORECAST
4,10 487
TIERCE
4,10,7 5,212
TRIO
4,7,10 749
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 5,658
QUARTET
4,10,7,11 110,126
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
10/4 764.5
10/10 69