Happy Valley · 2024-05-01 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 9.5 | N |
| 2 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly CP2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 3 | 7 | PACKING WISHER B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 9 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NORTHERN BEAST A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO XB-/H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING SEVEN XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | KYEEMA TT1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 38.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 1 | APOLAR FIGHTER B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 85.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TOP TOP TEA · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with JOYFUL PROSPERITY second and PACKING WISHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite KASA PAPA finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 23.5% | 4.25 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | KASA PAPA | 16.9% | 5.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | NORTHERN BEAST | 12.1% | 8.27 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO | 6.9% | 14.44 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND | 6.5% | 15.42 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.7% | 21.11 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | TO INFINITY | 3.7% | 27.03 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | PACKING WISHER | 3.0% | 33.56 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | KYEEMA | 1.7% | 60.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | WINNING SEVEN | 1.4% | 70.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 0.6% | 154.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 95
PLACE
4 28.5
7 29.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 226.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 185.5
4,10 78
7,10 80.5
FORECAST
4,10 487
TIERCE
4,10,7 5,212
TRIO
4,7,10 749
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 5,658
QUARTET
4,10,7,11 110,126
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
10/4 764.5
10/10 69