Happy Valley · 2024-05-01 · 11:42
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-01 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DRAGON DELIGHT, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/2, with BIG TWO second and MASTER OF LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite BIG TWO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 10 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPIHOOD Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 3 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MIGHTY STAR Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RATTAN WORLD Closed strongly B-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 27.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI B-/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 5 | 26.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM Led early M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 1 | 24.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | EAGLE RUN TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.3 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | V LOVE YOU B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 76.0 | 31 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BIG TWO | 17.7% | 5.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | EAGLE RUN | 15.1% | 6.63 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 14.4% | 6.93 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK | 10.4% | 9.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | MIGHTY STAR | 9.5% | 10.54 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | RATTAN WORLD | 7.5% | 13.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPIHOOD | 4.1% | 24.60 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 3.5% | 28.72 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 2.7% | 36.87 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 1.9% | 53.36 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | V LOVE YOU | 1.5% | 67.19 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 65.5
PLACE
2 38
5 11
6 21.5
QUINELLA
5,6 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 63.5
2,6 116
5,6 35.5
FORECAST
6,5 217
TIERCE
6,5,2 1,523
TRIO
2,5,6 273
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 2,044
QUARTET
6,5,2,12 28,062
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/2,5,6 7,236
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 27
5/6 344