Happy Valley · 2024-05-01 · 13:47
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with NEVER TOO SOON second and KA YING CHEER third. The 2.6 favourite KA YING CHEER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.10.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 5 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING CHEER A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 2.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 3.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY UNITED PC/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | CONTI CONTI B-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 158.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | ASTROLOGER K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 47.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND B1/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 3 | 14.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 59.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 78.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B-/V1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 33.5% | 2.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 21.7% | 4.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING CHEER | 15.9% | 6.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 7.9% | 12.59 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON | 7.4% | 13.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.75 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY UNITED | 3.6% | 27.82 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | ASTROLOGER | 3.0% | 33.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.5% | 66.68 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 1.1% | 88.13 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | CONTI CONTI | 0.5% | 217.97 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 34.5
PLACE
5 34.5
6 14.5
11 10.5
QUINELLA
5,6 247
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 72.5
5,11 62.5
6,11 23.5
FORECAST
6,5 394
TIERCE
6,5,11 1,333
TRIO
5,6,11 190
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 82
QUARTET
6,5,11,3 2,592
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,10/5,6,11 18,467
6TH DOUBLE
4/5 174
4/6 269
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9,10/4,7,10/5,6,11 1,763,772
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9,10/4,7,10/Any Combination 12,820