Happy Valley · 2024-05-01 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-3/4, with BRAVE WITNESS second and FRUITY WARRIOR third. The winner led throughout. The 4.4 favourite SETANTA finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE Wire to wire 1.40.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | FRUITY WARRIOR B-/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 1 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FIGHTING MAN Closed strongly XB/TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CHEONG FAT Closed strongly PC-/H/P1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | D STAR Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT- C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 10 | 50.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | NOT A FEW CP/XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 2 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 30.0 | 39-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SETANTA | 22.9% | 4.37 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 13.0% | 7.70 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | CHEONG FAT | 9.8% | 10.24 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 9.6% | 10.44 | 12 |
| 5 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS | 9.4% | 10.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 9.3% | 10.80 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | D STAR | 6.7% | 14.86 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.5% | 15.47 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 4.9% | 20.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | NOT A FEW | 3.3% | 30.65 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE | 3.0% | 33.66 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | FIGHTING MAN | 1.8% | 55.87 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 54.5
PLACE
5 18.5
9 19.5
10 20
QUINELLA
5,9 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 54
5,10 57
9,10 56.5
FORECAST
5,9 250
TIERCE
5,9,10 1,015
TRIO
5,9,10 216
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 3,650
QUARTET
5,9,10,8 41,445
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/5 203.5
4/9 75.5