Happy Valley · 2024-05-01 · 14:54
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. COLOURFUL EMPEROR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3, with SOLAR PARTNER second and CALIFORNIA TOUCH third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT 1.09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SOLAR PARTNER TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ACT OF FAITH B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | MY FLYING ANGEL CP-/V1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 5.2 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P/TT- B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 139.0 | 16 |
| 11 | 10 | FLOOF A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 22.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 15.1% | 6.63 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 12.0% | 8.36 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 11.3% | 8.87 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 10.3% | 9.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SOLAR PARTNER | 6.7% | 14.88 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | ACT OF FAITH | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO | 5.8% | 17.19 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.9% | 20.26 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | FLOOF | 4.8% | 20.87 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 0.5% | 214.46 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 39.5
PLACE
1 17.5
3 34
6 17
QUINELLA
1,3 303
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 104
1,6 46
3,6 132
FORECAST
1,3 511
TIERCE
1,3,6 3,343
TRIO
1,3,6 573
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 388
QUARTET
1,3,6,2 9,086
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/3/1 650
6/3/3 896
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/1,3,6 50,047
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 172
3/3 225
SIX UP
1,4/3,10/4,10/5,6/3,10/1,3 5,785
1/10/4/6/3/1 991,847
3 [C Fownes] —
7 [E C W Wong] —