跑馬地 · 2024-05-08 · 12:43
第 5場
2024-05-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、A S Cruz訓練的RIGHTEOUS ARION勝出，贏出N。TELECOM SPEED獲得亞軍；FALCON COURT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H-/TT 1.11.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 12 | FALCON COURT CP1/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 4 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ROARING BEBE XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR B/TT1 K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT CP/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | DEEP PURSUIT H/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 82.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 61.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER TEN B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 39.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HELLS BELLS L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUGAR BALL M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | ROARING BEBE | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 10.4% | 9.60 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED | 10.0% | 9.98 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | FALCON COURT | 8.0% | 12.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC | 5.7% | 17.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 4.4% | 22.69 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT | 3.1% | 32.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.0% | 33.49 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER TEN | 0.9% | 107.90 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | DEEP PURSUIT | 0.9% | 108.41 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 39
PLACE
1 15.5
2 18.5
12 49.5
QUINELLA
1,2 101
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 38.5
1,12 136
2,12 172
FORECAST
1,2 172
TIERCE
1,2,12 1,956
TRIO
1,2,12 548
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 702
QUARTET
1,2,12,9 11,144
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
11/5/1 8,401
11/5/2 2,042
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/1,2,12 102,454
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 1,013.5
5/2 220.5