Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 12:43
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RIGHTEOUS ARION, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with TELECOM SPEED second and FALCON COURT third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H-/TT 1.11.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 12 | FALCON COURT CP1/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 4 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ROARING BEBE XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR B/TT1 K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT CP/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | DEEP PURSUIT H/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 82.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 61.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER TEN B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 39.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HELLS BELLS L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUGAR BALL M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | ROARING BEBE | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 10.4% | 9.60 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED | 10.0% | 9.98 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | FALCON COURT | 8.0% | 12.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC | 5.7% | 17.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 4.4% | 22.69 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT | 3.1% | 32.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.0% | 33.49 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER TEN | 0.9% | 107.90 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | DEEP PURSUIT | 0.9% | 108.41 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 39
PLACE
1 15.5
2 18.5
12 49.5
QUINELLA
1,2 101
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 38.5
1,12 136
2,12 172
FORECAST
1,2 172
TIERCE
1,2,12 1,956
TRIO
1,2,12 548
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 702
QUARTET
1,2,12,9 11,144
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/5/1 8,401
11/5/2 2,042
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/1,2,12 102,454
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 1,013.5
5/2 220.5