Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 22:17
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT 1.41.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly B-/H/CP2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | COMET SPLENDIDO Led early TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | THE KHAN Closed strongly H/SR A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SURE JOYFUL TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 5 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | TRADITION Closed strongly B- E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 89.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | LINK SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 44.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ATOMIC BEAUTY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SIXTH GENERATION second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite CAN'T GO WONG finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 23.5% | 4.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 15.9% | 6.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SURE JOYFUL | 15.1% | 6.64 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 9.0% | 11.07 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.6% | 13.10 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | THE KHAN | 6.7% | 14.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 6.6% | 15.09 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEER PALACE | 5.9% | 16.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.5% | 21.98 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | LINK | 2.9% | 34.95 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY BABY | 1.4% | 69.85 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | TRADITION | 0.7% | 137.30 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 63
PLACE
1 24.5
6 15.5
10 21
QUINELLA
1,10 305
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 59.5
1,10 96.5
6,10 43.5
FORECAST
10,1 634
TIERCE
10,1,6 1,991
TRIO
1,6,10 235
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 491
QUARTET
10,1,6,3 13,401
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 95
5/10 417