Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NEW POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with LEAN MASTER second and CHATEAUNEUF third. The 3.2 favourite LEAN MASTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NEW POWER H 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | LEAN MASTER B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | COLONEL V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MR VALIANT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 5 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER GLORY B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | EVER SMART H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FOXHUNTER KING H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 91.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | WIN SPEED B1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | ACE ONE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 28.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 19.8% | 5.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | COLONEL | 11.7% | 8.58 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | NEW POWER | 9.1% | 11.02 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | MR VALIANT | 7.5% | 13.27 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | EVER SMART | 6.1% | 16.33 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY | 6.0% | 16.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 5.9% | 16.84 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER GLORY | 3.9% | 25.58 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | ACE ONE | 2.6% | 37.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | FOXHUNTER KING | 1.9% | 52.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | WIN SPEED | 0.7% | 147.47 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 70.5
PLACE
1 23
8 15.5
12 23
QUINELLA
8,12 125
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 50
1,12 74
8,12 50.5
FORECAST
12,8 293
TIERCE
12,8,1 1,372
TRIO
1,8,12 216
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 322
QUARTET
12,8,1,11 7,884
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/8 30
6/12 326