Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 14:54
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WINGS OF WAR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with SUPER JOY N FUN second and KYRUS DRAGON third. The 2.5 favourite SPORTS LEGEND finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR B 1.10.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 4 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 3 | 2.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS XB/CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 33.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY DAY B/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 2 | 25.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 42.4% | 2.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SPORTS LEGEND | 20.6% | 4.85 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR | 11.9% | 8.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | HUMBLE STAR | 6.2% | 16.02 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY DAY | 5.3% | 18.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | KYRUS DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 3.5% | 28.22 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE | 3.4% | 29.75 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 1.7% | 58.91 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS | 1.1% | 93.66 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 50
PLACE
4 15
8 13.5
10 30.5
QUINELLA
4,8 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 24
4,10 75
8,10 61
FORECAST
4,8 144
TIERCE
4,8,10 887
TRIO
4,8,10 176
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 837
QUARTET
4,8,10,1 10,457
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/10/4 2,484
5/10/8 215
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,10/4,8,10 7,059
8TH DOUBLE
10/4 349.5
10/8 45.5
SIX UP
5,11/1,2/1,7/5,7/1,10/4,8 13,420
5 [K Teetan] —
1 [A S Cruz] —