Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRECISION GOAL Closed strongly TT 1.41.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | VIVA A LA Led early B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 54.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAU GOSSE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | ASIAN ONE PC-/XB/B2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 14.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 11 | 91.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRECISION GOAL, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with CHARMING STEED second and CASA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite BEAU GOSSE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHARMING STEED | 16.4% | 6.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | VIVA A LA | 13.5% | 7.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | MEDIC ELITE | 12.6% | 7.92 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | PRECISION GOAL | 11.4% | 8.80 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY | 11.0% | 9.12 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 9.7% | 10.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAU GOSSE | 8.7% | 11.53 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | SPEEDSTAR | 5.6% | 17.82 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ASIAN ONE | 5.3% | 18.78 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.4% | 41.36 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 2.1% | 46.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 1.3% | 74.81 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 64.5
PLACE
3 18.5
10 39.5
11 22
QUINELLA
3,11 155
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 119
3,11 61
10,11 142.5
FORECAST
11,3 360
TIERCE
11,3,10 3,370
TRIO
3,10,11 711
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 1,509
QUARTET
11,3,10,9 32,282
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/3,10,11 26,648
2ND DOUBLE
12/3 75
12/11 432.5