Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ACE POWER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with VALHALLA second and WOOD ON FIRE third. The 3.5 favourite VANTASTIC CHOICE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ACE POWER 1.11.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE V2/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 6.4 | SH |
| 4 | 6 | SO TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DENFIELD CP-/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | VANTASTIC CHOICE E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | RACINGRACE XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | MULTIDARLING TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 8 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VULCANUS B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | DAN ATTACK CP/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 8.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEED SWORD TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 100.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPERB WITNESS CP/TT- M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 12 | 146.0 | 25 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DAN ATTACK | 20.6% | 4.85 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 16.8% | 5.94 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | DENFIELD | 15.0% | 6.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | VALHALLA | 14.5% | 6.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE | 10.2% | 9.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SO TREASURE | 5.6% | 17.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | VULCANUS | 5.0% | 19.86 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | ACE POWER | 4.3% | 23.22 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | RACINGRACE | 3.0% | 32.98 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 3.0% | 33.50 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEED SWORD | 1.2% | 85.37 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPERB WITNESS | 0.7% | 143.84 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 121
PLACE
5 32.5
7 20.5
11 25.5
QUINELLA
5,11 561
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 138
5,11 164.5
7,11 79
FORECAST
5,11 1,402
TIERCE
5,11,7 9,288
TRIO
5,7,11 1,282
FIRST 4
5,6,7,11 6,277
QUARTET
5,11,7,6 142,047
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/5 1,118.5
11/11 92