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Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course B 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 LOVERO Closed strongly TT 1.40.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 10.0 SH
2 7 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 12.0 SH
3 2 RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 3.5 SH
4 3 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte 7 3.9 1/2
5 10 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo 2 5.1 3/4
6 1 HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui 6 8.9 2-1/4
7 4 GIDDY UP TT B Avdulla · J Richards 5 10.0 5-1/4
8 6 LOOKING GREAT CP2/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 4 45.0 6-3/4
9 9 ACCOLADE START B1/TT A Badel · C S Shum 3 15.0 13-1/4
10 8 ORIENTAL TYCOON Led early P1 H Bentley · P C Ng 9 130.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LOVERO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with STAR CONTACT second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite RED HARE KING finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOVERO—2. STAR CONTACT+0.1L3. RED HARE KING+0.1L4. ZOOM BOOM+0.5L5. CHAIN OF GOLD+0.75L6. HAMERON+2.25L7. GIDDY UP+5.25L8. LOOKING GREAT+6.75L9. ACCOLADE START+13.25L10. ORIENTAL TYCOON+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick RED HARE KING (31.2%) finished 3rd — the winner LOVERO was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 RED HARE KING 31.2% 3.21 3
2 10 CHAIN OF GOLD 15.0% 6.67 5
3 3 ZOOM BOOM 10.2% 9.84 4
4 1 HAMERON 10.0% 10.00 6
5 4 GIDDY UP 9.4% 10.68 7
6 7 STAR CONTACT 9.2% 10.86 2
7 5 LOVERO 8.0% 12.55 1
8 9 ACCOLADE START 4.5% 22.45 9
9 6 LOOKING GREAT 2.1% 46.90 8
10 8 ORIENTAL TYCOON 0.6% 177.76 10
RED HARE KINGCHAIN OF GOLDZOOM BOOMHAMERONGIDDY UPSTAR CONTACTLOVERO — wonACCOLADE STARTLOOKING GREATORIENTAL TYCOON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 103

PLACE

2 14

5 32

7 31.5

QUINELLA

5,7 396

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 54.5

2,7 62

5,7 111

FORECAST

5,7 705

TIERCE

5,7,2 1,745

TRIO

2,5,7 291

FIRST 4

2,3,5,7 221

QUARTET

5,7,2,3 6,507

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/2,5,7 290,716

6TH DOUBLE

1/5 1,199.5

1/7 280

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,12/1,5,7/2,5,7 2,829,968

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,12/1,5,7/Any Combination 56,599