Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 13:47
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 3 over 1650m. LOVERO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with STAR CONTACT second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite RED HARE KING finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT 1.40.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.5 | SH |
| 4 | 3 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GIDDY UP TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LOOKING GREAT CP2/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ACCOLADE START B1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ORIENTAL TYCOON Led early P1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 130.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RED HARE KING | 31.2% | 3.21 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | ZOOM BOOM | 10.2% | 9.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAMERON | 10.0% | 10.00 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | GIDDY UP | 9.4% | 10.68 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 9.2% | 10.86 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | LOVERO | 8.0% | 12.55 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | ACCOLADE START | 4.5% | 22.45 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.1% | 46.90 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 0.6% | 177.76 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 103
PLACE
2 14
5 32
7 31.5
QUINELLA
5,7 396
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 54.5
2,7 62
5,7 111
FORECAST
5,7 705
TIERCE
5,7,2 1,745
TRIO
2,5,7 291
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 221
QUARTET
5,7,2,3 6,507
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/2,5,7 290,716
6TH DOUBLE
1/5 1,199.5
1/7 280
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,12/1,5,7/2,5,7 2,829,968
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,12/1,5,7/Any Combination 56,599