Happy Valley · 2024-05-08 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H 1.50.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 4.8 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | STORM WINNER Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | MR ALADDIN B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHATER GOLD CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 5 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | AROMATICA TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 62.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL V E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ESCAPE ROUTE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by SH, with FOREVER GLORIOUS second and STORM WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite MR ALADDIN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MR ALADDIN | 17.3% | 5.79 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 16.9% | 5.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SERANGOON | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN | 11.1% | 9.04 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING SILVER | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 8.7% | 11.51 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 7.5% | 13.30 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 6.2% | 16.01 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN | 3.1% | 31.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | CHATER GOLD | 2.8% | 36.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | AROMATICA | 2.3% | 44.42 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | STORM WINNER | 0.8% | 124.41 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 104
PLACE
1 32.5
5 94.5
7 17.5
QUINELLA
1,7 328
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 455.5
1,7 112.5
5,7 279.5
FORECAST
1,7 907
TIERCE
1,7,5 17,572
TRIO
1,5,7 3,810
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 3,972
QUARTET
1,7,5,8 130,506
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 480.5
1/7 46