沙田 · 2024-05-11 · 05:01
第 1場
2024-05-11沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、W Y So訓練的MASTER OF ALL勝出，贏出3-1/2。GENERAL WINNER獲得亞軍；PERFECT PEACH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門PERFECT PEACH跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 CP K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAT HOLLOW 早段領放 E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HO HO STAR K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 72.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 B/XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | FORTUNE MASTER 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | ALWAYS AWESOME 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 34.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 36.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | HERO ICON P1/TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 14 | 100.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | MORE RICE B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 13 | 12.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH | 12.4% | 8.07 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | GENERAL WINNER | 12.1% | 8.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | NOBLE WIN | 10.9% | 9.15 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | BEAT HOLLOW | 10.0% | 9.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 9.1% | 10.96 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY | 7.0% | 14.22 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | MORE RICE | 5.8% | 17.33 | 14 |
| 9 | 1 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 5.0% | 20.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.7% | 21.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | HERO ICON | 4.2% | 24.02 | 13 |
| 12 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 3.7% | 26.89 | 4 |
| 13 | 5 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.38 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | HO HO STAR | 1.8% | 54.39 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 50.5
PLACE
4 20.5
8 18
13 19
QUINELLA
4,13 155
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 59
4,13 61
8,13 51.5
FORECAST
4,13 346
TIERCE
4,13,8 951
TRIO
4,8,13 128
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 462
QUARTET
4,13,8,2 10,287