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Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 05:01

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF ALL, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by 3-1/2, with GENERAL WINNER second and PERFECT PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite PERFECT PEACH finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 MASTER OF ALL Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 6 5.0 3-1/2
2 13 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Whyte 10 5.2 3-1/2
3 8 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang 2 4.7 3-3/4
4 2 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu 7 20.0 4-1/2
5 3 NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB B Avdulla · J Size 1 7.1 4-3/4
6 6 BEAT HOLLOW Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 5 8.8 4-3/4
7 10 HO HO STAR K C Leung · C H Yip 8 72.0 5-3/4
8 5 RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 46.0 7
9 14 FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards 9 26.0 8
10 1 ALWAYS AWESOME Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 3 34.0 9
11 11 TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 4 10.0 9-1/2
12 7 DAILY TROPHY B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 36.0 9-3/4
13 12 HERO ICON P1/TT K De Melo · W K Mo 14 100.0 14-1/2
14 9 MORE RICE B Thompson · T P Yung 13 12.0 16-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF ALL2. GENERAL WINNER+3.5L3. PERFECT PEACH+3.75L4. JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP+4.5L5. NOBLE WIN+4.75L6. BEAT HOLLOW+4.75L7. HO HO STAR+5.75L8. RIGHT HONOURABLE+7L9. FORTUNE MASTER+8L10. ALWAYS AWESOME+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick PERFECT PEACH (12.4%) finished 3rd — the winner MASTER OF ALL was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 PERFECT PEACH 12.4% 8.07 3
2 13 GENERAL WINNER 12.1% 8.27 2
3 4 MASTER OF ALL 11.0% 9.08 1
4 3 NOBLE WIN 10.9% 9.15 5
5 6 BEAT HOLLOW 10.0% 9.96 6
6 11 TSUEN WAN GLORY 9.1% 10.96 11
7 7 DAILY TROPHY 7.0% 14.22 12
8 9 MORE RICE 5.8% 17.33 14
9 1 ALWAYS AWESOME 5.0% 20.16 10
10 14 FORTUNE MASTER 4.7% 21.16 9
11 12 HERO ICON 4.2% 24.02 13
12 2 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 3.7% 26.89 4
13 5 RIGHT HONOURABLE 2.2% 45.38 8
14 10 HO HO STAR 1.8% 54.39 7
PERFECT PEACHGENERAL WINNERMASTER OF ALL — wonNOBLE WINBEAT HOLLOWTSUEN WAN GLORYDAILY TROPHYMORE RICEALWAYS AWESOMEFORTUNE MASTERHERO ICONJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPRIGHT HONOURABLEHO HO STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 50.5

PLACE

4 20.5

8 18

13 19

QUINELLA

4,13 155

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 59

4,13 61

8,13 51.5

FORECAST

4,13 346

TIERCE

4,13,8 951

TRIO

4,8,13 128

FIRST 4

2,4,8,13 462

QUARTET

4,13,8,2 10,287