Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 05:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MASSIVE ACTION, ridden by H T Mo and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with WOODFIRE BRO second and BERLIN TANGO third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite M UNICORN finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION Wire to wire SR/V 1.38.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 1 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 8.7 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.8 | N |
| 4 | 2 | APACHE PASS BO/XB H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 4 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ROMANTIC CHARM V/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | ALACRITY CP-/XB/PC2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | M UNICORN H/P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 2.9 | 26 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ALACRITY | 21.2% | 4.72 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 16.1% | 6.20 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | M UNICORN | 15.9% | 6.29 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | APACHE PASS | 7.9% | 12.64 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 7.2% | 13.93 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | WOODFIRE BRO | 6.5% | 15.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 6.0% | 16.75 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 3.9% | 25.64 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 65
PLACE
3 22
4 26.5
9 26.5
QUINELLA
4,9 366.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 109
3,9 114.5
4,9 120
FORECAST
9,4 693
TIERCE
9,4,3 5,662
TRIO
3,4,9 1,110
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 1,781
QUARTET
9,4,3,2 52,285
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 77
4/9 595.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,13/3,4,9 16,413