Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 17:12
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOLLY RULER Closed strongly CP1/TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TOP SCORER Led early Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ENJOY GOLF Closed strongly H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HOSS Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 13 | 69.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | ACA POWER Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 3 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | PACKING BRILLIANT Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 93.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | STURDY RUBY CP-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | GRAND BOSS CP1/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 75.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | NOT A FEW XB-/CP/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 154.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | RIVER VIEWS L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 20-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOLLY RULER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with TOP SCORER second and SKY TRUST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite TOP SCORER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP SCORER | 29.3% | 3.41 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | ENJOY GOLF | 13.7% | 7.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY TRUST | 13.7% | 7.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 9.7% | 10.31 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | STURDY RUBY | 9.0% | 11.08 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | HOSS | 4.6% | 21.58 | 7 |
| 7 | 14 | ACA POWER | 3.7% | 27.23 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | JOLLY RULER | 3.5% | 28.91 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING | 3.4% | 29.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 3.4% | 29.40 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | RIVER VIEWS | 3.0% | 33.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 1.2% | 85.72 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | GRAND BOSS | 0.9% | 108.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | NOT A FEW | 0.9% | 112.42 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 368.5
PLACE
1 113.5
4 14.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 774
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 273.5
1,8 367.5
4,8 29.5
FORECAST
1,4 1,829
TIERCE
1,4,8 8,501
TRIO
1,4,8 633
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 931
QUARTET
1,4,8,5 31,948
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 786
3/4 15.5