Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 06:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with BABY CRYSTAL second and PLEASANT ENDEAVOR third. The 2.0 favourite BABY CRYSTAL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING VICTORY 0.55.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY UNITED PC/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HIGHLAND RAHY TT1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 72.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO SR1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 34.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER SR1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.2 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING VICTORY | 23.7% | 4.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 23.3% | 4.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 12.3% | 8.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY UNITED | 12.3% | 8.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 5.8% | 17.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER | 5.2% | 19.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 4.9% | 20.28 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.45 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO | 3.9% | 25.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 3.8% | 25.99 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 32.5
PLACE
1 10.1
3 29.5
10 14
QUINELLA
1,10 32.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 42.5
1,10 17.5
3,10 62
FORECAST
10,1 80
TIERCE
10,1,3 450
TRIO
1,3,10 85
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 92
QUARTET
10,1,3,5 1,827
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 43
9/10 407