Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 09:49
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GRACIOUS EXPRESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with GOLDEN EMPIRE second and CALIFORNIA DEEPLY third. The 3.1 favourite STELLAR EXPRESS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.3 | N |
| 2 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B2 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 26.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | STELLAR EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 12 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GUSTOSISIMO TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | LESLIE B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | TELECOM POWER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 194.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | E LEGEND K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 9 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 28.1% | 3.56 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 21.9% | 4.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 10.5% | 9.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 8.5% | 11.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | GUSTOSISIMO | 6.0% | 16.62 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 4.6% | 21.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.9% | 25.85 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | E LEGEND | 2.7% | 36.66 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | LESLIE | 2.4% | 42.22 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | TELECOM POWER | 0.4% | 243.51 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 83
PLACE
4 66
7 27.5
9 38.5
QUINELLA
4,7 1,218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 357
4,9 493
7,9 180.5
FORECAST
7,4 2,131
TIERCE
7,4,9 27,579
TRIO
4,7,9 4,416
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 3,420
QUARTET
7,4,9,2 132,498
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/1/4 2,867
3/1/7 7,582
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/4,7,9 313,862
9TH DOUBLE
1/4 778.5
1/7 1,811
SIX UP
3,6/7,11/7,8/3,13/1,4/4,7 5,983
6/11/7/3/1/7 3,402,454
6 [P F Yiu] —
14 [Others] —