Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 08:39
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING GOLD, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with YEE CHEONG RAIDER second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly H/TT 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 13 | 189.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 14 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | GOLDEN RISE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY DAILY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 5.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 7 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GIANT LEAP B1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | LEEDOX B-/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 121.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 10 | 118.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER TAICHI H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 97.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | NEVER PETER OUT B-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 172.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | CHARITY GAIN B1/TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 12 | 94.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 24.3% | 4.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING GOLD | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | GOLDEN RISE | 11.6% | 8.60 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY DAILY | 9.1% | 10.97 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | LET'S DO IT | 6.6% | 15.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO | 6.3% | 15.91 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.8% | 17.19 | 14 |
| 8 | 8 | GIANT LEAP | 4.1% | 24.53 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | CHARITY GAIN | 3.0% | 33.60 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER TAICHI | 2.8% | 35.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.8% | 54.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | NEVER PETER OUT | 1.4% | 69.97 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 1.3% | 76.46 | 2 |
| 14 | 1 | LEEDOX | 0.7% | 140.48 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 34.5
PLACE
3 15.5
13 336
14 18
QUINELLA
3,13 3,440.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 1,020
3,14 40
13,14 988
FORECAST
3,13 3,589
TIERCE
3,13,14 19,229
TRIO
3,13,14 4,371
FIRST 4
2,3,13,14 9,382
QUARTET
3,13,14,2 213,374
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/3,13,14 896,541
7TH DOUBLE
7/3 96.5
7/13 811