Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 9 | 28.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 2 | 4.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 15.0 | SH |
| 4 | 12 | GO HERO B1/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 16.0 | HD |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER Led early H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 10 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR H1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MAYHEM H A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 6 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | PANDA LEGEND TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | G LINER H/P/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FAST VICTORY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.8 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SUN OF MAKFI, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with VIVA HUNTER second and MISSION BRAVO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite VIVA HUNTER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 19.3% | 5.19 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 15.2% | 6.60 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | G LINER | 10.9% | 9.17 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER | 9.7% | 10.36 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | PANDA LEGEND | 8.1% | 12.34 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | FAST VICTORY | 7.8% | 12.84 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 7.6% | 13.22 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI | 5.8% | 17.33 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER | 5.6% | 17.78 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | MAYHEM | 5.5% | 18.34 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.8% | 36.27 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | GO HERO | 1.9% | 51.37 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 285
PLACE
1 17
4 59.5
11 70
QUINELLA
1,11 631.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 177.5
1,11 197.5
4,11 603.5
FORECAST
11,1 1,633
TIERCE
11,1,4 27,681
TRIO
1,4,11 4,427
FIRST 4
1,4,11,12 17,687
QUARTET
11,1,4,12 419,085
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/1,4,11 52,431
3RD DOUBLE
10/1 31.5
10/11 1,247.5