Sha Tin · 2024-05-11 · 07:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AWESOME TREASURE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with KING MILES second and URBAN TRIUMPH third. The 1.8 favourite KING MILES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE TT 1.09.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KING MILES H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | URBAN TRIUMPH CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CRAZY TREASURE B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | STORM LEGEND E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | STRATHBARRY Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | OMAKASE TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | ALP'S AFFECTION V1/TT1 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 46.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 11 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ROBOT MASTER SR/B1/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 88.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KING MILES | 27.1% | 3.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SMART LEADER | 9.2% | 10.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | STRATHBARRY | 9.1% | 11.04 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | STORM LEGEND | 8.2% | 12.23 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 7.3% | 13.61 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 7.1% | 14.12 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | OMAKASE | 7.0% | 14.30 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 4.7% | 21.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | PINS PRINCE | 4.2% | 23.97 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | CRAZY TREASURE | 4.1% | 24.13 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | ROBOT MASTER | 0.9% | 106.97 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 36.5
PLACE
3 10.1
6 14.5
12 48
QUINELLA
3,6 31.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 17
3,12 58.5
6,12 82.5
FORECAST
6,3 91
TIERCE
6,3,12 584
TRIO
3,6,12 142
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 351
QUARTET
6,3,12,10 5,832
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/11/3 474
10/11/6 4,096
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 140
11/6 1,104