跑馬地 · 2024-05-15 · 14:53
第 9場
2024-05-15跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的COPARTNER PRANCE勝出，贏出HD。CALIFORNIA TOUCH獲得亞軍；SOLAR PARTNER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.09.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 2.8 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 3.9 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | SOLAR PARTNER TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO B B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 3 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | WINNING ICEY B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 8.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 8 | 8.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 11 | 27.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 63.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | SUPER WINNER TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 4 | 46.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 33.4% | 2.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 12.0% | 8.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 10.7% | 9.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNING ICEY | 9.0% | 11.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 7.5% | 13.27 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.4% | 15.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 5.5% | 18.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLAR PARTNER | 5.3% | 18.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER WINNER | 3.5% | 28.81 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 2.9% | 34.66 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 2.1% | 46.74 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.6% | 63.05 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 14
7 44
9 16
QUINELLA
2,9 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 84
2,9 30.5
7,9 101
FORECAST
2,9 121
TIERCE
2,9,7 1,044
TRIO
2,7,9 346
FIRST 4
2,7,9,10 492
QUARTET
2,9,7,10 5,890
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/4/2 1,454
7/4/9 292
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/2,7,9 45,458
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 116.5
4/9 32.5
SIX UP
3,9/6,11/3,8/4,7/4,9/2,9 31,839
3/11/8/7/4/2 1,174,316
9 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —