跑馬地 · 2024-05-22 · 18:01
第 6場
2024-05-22跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的THE PERFECT MATCH勝出，贏出SH。TELECOM SPEED獲得亞軍；FALCON COURT獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門TELECOM SPEED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT 1.10.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 6.4 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | FALCON COURT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY B A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 3 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER SIXTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN LINK E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 9.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 4.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TOGEPI B/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 6 | 24.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BROTHER CHENG XB H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 104.0 | 20 |
| 12 | 7 | BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 44-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 17.4% | 5.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 16.2% | 6.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED | 14.3% | 7.01 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 9.7% | 10.32 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 8.8% | 11.42 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN LINK | 8.6% | 11.69 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.9% | 14.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER SIXTY | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | TOGEPI | 5.3% | 18.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | FALCON COURT | 5.2% | 19.23 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY | 1.4% | 69.68 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | BROTHER CHENG | 0.7% | 135.25 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 64.5
PLACE
1 13
8 20.5
12 49.5
QUINELLA
1,8 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 41
1,12 108.5
8,12 141.5
FORECAST
8,1 223
TIERCE
8,1,12 2,361
TRIO
1,8,12 322
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 2,503
QUARTET
8,1,12,11 41,390
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 27.5
6/8 574