跑馬地 · 2024-05-22 · 18:02
第 9場
2024-05-22跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPERB CAPITALIST勝出，贏出1-1/4。GUMMY GUMMY獲得亞軍；HARMONY N BLESSED獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門GUMMY GUMMY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GUMMY GUMMY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | NORDIC DRAGON TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | KURPANY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 104.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | SEASONS WIT V/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 8 | 88.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.9 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | WE ARE HERO V/TT B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 3 | 93.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | CARROLL STREET · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 16.8% | 5.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 16.0% | 6.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | GUMMY GUMMY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 12.3% | 8.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 10.9% | 9.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | NORDIC DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | HUMBLE STAR | 4.1% | 24.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.5% | 28.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | SEASONS WIT | 3.1% | 31.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | KURPANY | 2.8% | 36.28 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | WE ARE HERO | 1.8% | 56.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 54
PLACE
7 20.5
8 21.5
9 23
QUINELLA
7,8 143
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 58
7,9 66
8,9 66
FORECAST
8,7 262
TIERCE
8,7,9 1,529
TRIO
7,8,9 305
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 415
QUARTET
8,7,9,5 9,762
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
11/6/7 543
11/6/8 3,396
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/7,8,9 32,200
8TH DOUBLE
6/7 38.5
6/8 338
SIX UP
5,10/6,12/1,8/1,11/1,6/7,8 844
10/6/8/11/6/8 271,360
2 [C S Shum] —
1 [K Teetan] —