沙田 · 2024-06-23 · 08:02
第 1場
2024-06-23沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、K L Man訓練的YUEN LONG ELITE勝出，贏出SH。MY WISH獲得亞軍；BEAUTY MISSILE獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門BEAUTY MISSILE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | YUEN LONG ELITE 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON JOY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SWEET SMILE H1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | CAMP FIRE H/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 107.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 11 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | ROBOT MASTER B/SR/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 2 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER SR1/TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 13 | 85.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 14 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | JUDY'S GREAT TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 12 | 64.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FOXHUNTER GO C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 40.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | DEAL COMPLETED TT1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 49.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 23.1% | 4.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 12.7% | 7.86 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | DRAGON JOY | 9.4% | 10.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | FOXHUNTER GO | 8.8% | 11.42 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | SWEET SMILE | 8.0% | 12.57 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | MY WISH | 7.2% | 13.86 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | DEAL COMPLETED | 7.0% | 14.36 | 14 |
| 8 | 2 | JUDY'S GREAT | 5.7% | 17.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.0% | 19.89 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | SMART LEADER | 3.5% | 28.60 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | CAMP FIRE | 3.4% | 29.44 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER | 2.7% | 37.04 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.7% | 37.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | ROBOT MASTER | 0.8% | 120.29 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 44.5
PLACE
1 12.5
10 20.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
10,11 124
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 39.5
1,11 28
10,11 44
FORECAST
11,10 247
TIERCE
11,10,1 711
TRIO
1,10,11 105
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 115
QUARTET
11,10,1,7 3,086