跑馬地 · 2024-06-26 · 12:41
第 5場
2024-06-26跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的SETANTA勝出，贏出1-1/2。I CAN獲得亞軍；CAN'T GO WONG獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門CAN'T GO WONG跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | I CAN 後段發力 H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 2.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | NOT A FEW 後段發力 CP-/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 9 | 86.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | THE KHAN 早段領放 H/SR A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 8.4 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | STAR LINE B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | AMAZING BOY TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOGEPI TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 7 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | FAST VICTORY B C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.2 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | TIGER AND GOLD 後段發力 B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 6 | 109.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO E A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 21.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FAST VICTORY | 24.0% | 4.17 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG | 22.9% | 4.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SETANTA | 12.4% | 8.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | I CAN | 11.1% | 9.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | AMAZING BOY | 6.1% | 16.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 5.8% | 17.12 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | STAR LINE | 5.6% | 17.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | THE KHAN | 5.0% | 20.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 3.9% | 25.74 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | TOGEPI | 1.7% | 57.18 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | NOT A FEW | 1.1% | 88.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.5% | 214.60 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 42
PLACE
1 28.5
2 16
5 12.5
QUINELLA
1,2 197.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 71.5
1,5 49.5
2,5 27
FORECAST
2,1 345
TIERCE
2,1,5 732
TRIO
1,2,5 91
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,447
QUARTET
2,1,5,8 32,853
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/3/1 461
1/3/2 2,014
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/1,2,5 5,806
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 90
3/2 359.5