跑馬地 · 2024-07-04 · 13:47
第 7場
2024-07-04跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、C H Yip訓練的TRAVEL GOLF勝出，贏出N。GALLANT VALOUR獲得亞軍；CAMINO獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門GALLANT VALOUR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TRAVEL GOLF B/TT 1.10.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 11 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT VALOUR PC-/B2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 3.3 | N |
| 3 | 5 | CAMINO H/P C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | RAGNARR XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 1 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING WROTE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | STERLING WONGCHOY XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 89.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 12 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SO TREASURE CP-/B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 9.6 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | GET SET WIN H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 7 | 96.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING WROTE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT VALOUR | 17.0% | 5.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CAMINO | 9.5% | 10.47 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | RAGNARR | 9.2% | 10.82 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | HERO STAR | 8.3% | 12.09 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 8.1% | 12.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | SO TREASURE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART | 6.8% | 14.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | TRAVEL GOLF | 6.0% | 16.59 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY SOUL | 4.9% | 20.32 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | GET SET WIN | 1.8% | 55.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 1.2% | 81.47 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 135.5
PLACE
3 14
5 26
10 39
QUINELLA
3,10 196
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 61
3,10 77.5
5,10 228.5
FORECAST
10,3 663
TIERCE
10,3,5 5,312
TRIO
3,5,10 769
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 1,041
QUARTET
10,3,5,7 34,082
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,12/3,5,10 132,428
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 27
3/10 792.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,8/3,5,12/Any Combination 22,741