跑馬地 · 2024-07-04 · 14:54
第 9場
2024-07-04跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WATCH BUDDY勝出，贏出SH。ARMOUR EAGLE獲得亞軍；YOUNG ARROW獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門HEALTHY HEALTHY跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WATCH BUDDY 1.10.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 23.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 9 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 58.0 | SH |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 10 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON B2/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MIGHTY COMMANDER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ASTROLOGER B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | NATURAL HIGH B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 6 | 126.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 25.8% | 3.88 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.57 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 10.3% | 9.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 6.7% | 14.85 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 6.2% | 16.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | ASTROLOGER | 5.8% | 17.09 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 5.8% | 17.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 5.7% | 17.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | WATCH BUDDY | 5.5% | 18.07 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW | 4.7% | 21.29 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | NATURAL HIGH | 0.6% | 168.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 236
PLACE
2 64
11 136.5
12 41
QUINELLA
2,12 1,645
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 1,133
2,12 394
11,12 769
FORECAST
2,12 2,730
TIERCE
2,12,11 60,542
TRIO
2,11,12 9,443
FIRST 4
2,4,11,12 5,738
2,10,11,12 7,567
QUARTET
2,12,11,4 167,109
2,12,11,10 206,894
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
10/2/2 13,436
10/2/12 1,413
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/2,11,12 370,884
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 659
2/12 81.5
SIX UP
2/4/3/10/2/2 2,345,703
2,4/4,7/3,12/3,10/2,5/2,12 16,225
2 [H Bowman] —
5 [D J Whyte] —