跑馬地 · 2024-09-11
第 8場
2024-09-11跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的SUPER JOY N FUN勝出，贏出N。REWARD SMILE獲得亞軍；LUCKY ARCHANGEL獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門KA YING CHEER跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT1 1.10.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 1 | REWARD SMILE TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 1 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | KA YING CHEER V- Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 2.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 7 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 22.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MEGA BONUS V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 65.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING CHEER | 22.3% | 4.48 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 16.0% | 6.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | REWARD SMILE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL | 6.6% | 15.05 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 6.4% | 15.64 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.2% | 16.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 4.9% | 20.35 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | MEGA BONUS | 4.2% | 23.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.9% | 25.34 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 3.7% | 26.80 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 43
PLACE
1 36
6 92.5
8 15
QUINELLA
1,8 294.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 1,034.5
1,8 92.5
6,8 479.5
FORECAST
8,1 584
TIERCE
8,1,6 18,671
TRIO
1,6,8 3,765
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 9,770
QUARTET
8,1,6,9 187,868
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
11/4/1 591
11/4/8 760
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,11/1,6,8 424,016
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 54.5
4/8 82
SIX UP
1/2/3/11/4/8 65,734
1,8/2,10/3,6/1,11/4,5/1,8 6,713
2 [M F Poon] —
1 [C S Shum] —