跑馬地 · 2024-09-11
第 5場
2024-09-11跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米。由E C W Wong策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SERGEANT PEPPER勝出，贏出3/4。YEE CHEONG SPIRIT獲得亞軍；MA COMET獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門FORTUNE WARRIOR跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER 0.57.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H1/XB1/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | MA COMET CP1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 10 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MR VALIANT CP1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LESS IS MORE TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 4 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | ACE POWER CP-/B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | FUNG B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 18.4% | 5.44 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 15.7% | 6.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | MA COMET | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | LESS IS MORE | 11.2% | 8.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 8.5% | 11.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MR VALIANT | 6.2% | 16.10 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY | 6.0% | 16.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | ACE POWER | 5.2% | 19.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.9% | 20.48 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.39 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | FUNG | 0.8% | 125.13 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 94
PLACE
1 20.5
3 28
6 62.5
QUINELLA
3,6 1,045.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 98
1,6 284
3,6 327
FORECAST
3,6 1,930
TIERCE
3,6,1 11,747
TRIO
1,3,6 2,335
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 3,101
QUARTET
3,6,1,9 88,133
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/2/3 769
1/2/6 645
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 431
2/6 337