Happy Valley · 2024-09-11
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-11 was Class 4 over 1000m. SERGEANT PEPPER, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with YEE CHEONG SPIRIT second and MA COMET third. The 4.3 favourite FORTUNE WARRIOR finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER 0.57.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H1/XB1/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | MA COMET CP1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 10 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MR VALIANT CP1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LESS IS MORE TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 4 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | ACE POWER CP-/B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | FUNG B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 18.4% | 5.44 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 15.7% | 6.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | MA COMET | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | LESS IS MORE | 11.2% | 8.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 8.5% | 11.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MR VALIANT | 6.2% | 16.10 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY | 6.0% | 16.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | ACE POWER | 5.2% | 19.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.9% | 20.48 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.39 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | FUNG | 0.8% | 125.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 94
PLACE
1 20.5
3 28
6 62.5
QUINELLA
3,6 1,045.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 98
1,6 284
3,6 327
FORECAST
3,6 1,930
TIERCE
3,6,1 11,747
TRIO
1,3,6 2,335
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 3,101
QUARTET
3,6,1,9 88,133
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/2/3 769
1/2/6 645
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 431
2/6 337