Happy Valley · 2024-09-11
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-11 was Class 5 over 1200m. VIVA A LA, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K L Man, won by 3, with JOYFUL LIFE second and SUPER EAGLE third. The 2.7 favourite JOYFUL LIFE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA A LA B/TT 1.10.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER EAGLE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 5.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR-/B1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY FEELING B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 43.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | WIND SPEEDER B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | HIGH RISE POWER TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER EAGLE | 23.9% | 4.19 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY | 18.1% | 5.52 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE | 16.2% | 6.19 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | VIVA A LA | 11.1% | 9.01 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 10.6% | 9.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HIGH RISE POWER | 7.7% | 12.98 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | WIND SPEEDER | 6.0% | 16.76 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 3.9% | 25.54 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY FEELING | 2.6% | 38.53 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 56.5
PLACE
2 13
3 17
8 18.5
QUINELLA
2,8 70.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 30
2,8 30.5
3,8 46
FORECAST
8,2 195
TIERCE
8,2,3 704
TRIO
2,3,8 89
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 126
QUARTET
8,2,3,5 3,729