Happy Valley · 2024-09-11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B 1.41.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | FOREMOST TEDDY Led early B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DRAGON STAR Closed strongly B-/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 2 | 8.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 47.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 4 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | D STAR B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER BABY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-11 was Class 4 over 1650m. MATSU VICTOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with RED MAJESTY second and FOREMOST TEDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite RED MAJESTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RED MAJESTY | 17.4% | 5.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 12.7% | 7.89 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | MATSU VICTOR | 11.3% | 8.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | DRAGON STAR | 8.9% | 11.23 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 8.7% | 11.50 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER BABY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | LITTLE FAIRY | 8.0% | 12.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN | 6.6% | 15.24 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 6.3% | 15.96 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | D STAR | 5.7% | 17.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 3.7% | 27.32 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | DURHAM STAR | 2.9% | 34.97 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 91
PLACE
1 17
10 50
11 27
QUINELLA
1,11 219
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 138.5
1,11 73.5
10,11 261
FORECAST
11,1 489
TIERCE
11,1,10 6,269
TRIO
1,10,11 1,056
FIRST 4
1,6,10,11 1,776
QUARTET
11,1,10,6 38,374
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/1,10,11 814,513
5TH DOUBLE
3/1 91.5
3/11 693.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,10/1,3,6/1,10,11 9,996,063
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,10/1,3,6/Any Combination 22,356