跑馬地 · 2024-09-18
第 6場
2024-09-18跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由A Atzeni策騎、K W Lui訓練的FOREVER GLORIOUS勝出，贏出SH。DRAGON STAR獲得亞軍；STORM WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門ME TIME跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS 後段發力 V/TT 1.50.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 7.9 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON STAR 早段領放 XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 9.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | STORM WINNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 5.8 | N |
| 4 | 10 | ME TIME 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING SILVER 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING STEPS H/PC K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY HERO 後段發力 B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 56.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SERANGOON CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | AFFORDABLE B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SERANGOON | 15.6% | 6.42 | 11 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY HERO | 14.4% | 6.93 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING STEPS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | ME TIME | 11.7% | 8.55 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | DRAGON STAR | 9.6% | 10.46 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 6.4% | 15.51 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING SILVER | 5.8% | 17.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | STORM WINNER | 5.8% | 17.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.9% | 25.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE | 3.8% | 26.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | AFFORDABLE | 1.1% | 92.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 79
PLACE
2 24.5
5 34.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
2,5 388.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 126
2,8 89.5
5,8 133
FORECAST
2,5 684
TIERCE
2,5,8 4,376
TRIO
2,5,8 983
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 829
QUARTET
2,5,8,10 25,864
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/2,5,8 20,615
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 360.5
5/5 115
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,5/2,5,9/2,5,8 1,613,710
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,5/2,5,9/Any Combination 1,092