Happy Valley · 2024-09-18
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.50.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 7.9 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON STAR Led early XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 9.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | STORM WINNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 5.8 | N |
| 4 | 10 | ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING STEPS H/PC K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 56.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SERANGOON CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | AFFORDABLE B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-18 was Class 4 over 1800m. FOREVER GLORIOUS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with DRAGON STAR second and STORM WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite ME TIME finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SERANGOON | 15.6% | 6.42 | 11 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY HERO | 14.4% | 6.93 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING STEPS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | ME TIME | 11.7% | 8.55 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | DRAGON STAR | 9.6% | 10.46 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 6.4% | 15.51 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING SILVER | 5.8% | 17.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | STORM WINNER | 5.8% | 17.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.9% | 25.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE | 3.8% | 26.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | AFFORDABLE | 1.1% | 92.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 79
PLACE
2 24.5
5 34.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
2,5 388.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 126
2,8 89.5
5,8 133
FORECAST
2,5 684
TIERCE
2,5,8 4,376
TRIO
2,5,8 983
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 829
QUARTET
2,5,8,10 25,864
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/2,5,8 20,615
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 360.5
5/5 115
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,5/2,5,9/2,5,8 1,613,710
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,5/2,5,9/Any Combination 1,092