Happy Valley · 2024-09-18
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-18 was Class 3 over 1650m. STAR CONTACT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with SIMPLY MAVERICK second and SETANTA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SETANTA finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly B1/SR1/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | BEATO V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SILVER KING H-/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 71.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB-/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 51.0 | 26 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | SETANTA | 18.3% | 5.46 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 12.4% | 8.08 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR CONTACT | 10.2% | 9.82 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | BEATO | 9.5% | 10.57 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 8.8% | 11.34 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING | 7.9% | 12.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN | 7.8% | 12.85 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 3.3% | 30.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SILVER KING | 1.6% | 63.82 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 52.5
PLACE
2 19
5 17.5
9 14.5
QUINELLA
2,5 153.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 53.5
2,9 43.5
5,9 38
FORECAST
5,2 251
TIERCE
5,2,9 629
TRIO
2,5,9 125
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 101
QUARTET
5,2,9,1 1,791
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/1/2 431
1/1/5 2,108
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 91.5
1/5 282