Happy Valley · 2024-09-18
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-18 was Class 5 over 1000m. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by NOSE, with PARENTS' LOVE second and ACE TALENT third. The 4.5 favourite PARENTS' LOVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO B 0.57.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 9.8 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.5 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | ACE TALENT H/P/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGIC TRAVELLER B-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 1 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 2 | 4.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FALCON COURT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 12 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 48.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 14.3% | 6.98 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | PLENTIFUL | 10.0% | 10.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | GOODMANSHIP | 7.6% | 13.14 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | ACE TALENT | 6.9% | 14.57 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS | 6.2% | 16.00 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 5.3% | 18.99 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | FALCON COURT | 4.8% | 20.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 3.4% | 29.55 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | PHILOS | 3.1% | 32.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 98.5
PLACE
1 28
4 20
5 44.5
QUINELLA
1,4 267
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 92
1,5 198.5
4,5 108
FORECAST
1,4 533
TIERCE
1,4,5 3,365
TRIO
1,4,5 549
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 4,906
QUARTET
1,4,5,11 92,583
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/1,4,5 79,378
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 563.5
1/4 66.5