Happy Valley · 2024-09-18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-18 was Class 2 over 1650m. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with FLAMINGO TRILLION second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CHILL CHIBI finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT 1.39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 9.7 | N |
| 2 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 27.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT SR-/B1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | YELLOWFIN Led early XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 5.2 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | NATURAL STORM B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 83.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 15.1% | 6.64 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | CHILL CHIBI | 14.9% | 6.71 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | RED HARE KING | 11.6% | 8.61 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 11.6% | 8.61 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | OUTGATE | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | YELLOWFIN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO | 5.9% | 16.96 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT | 4.2% | 23.74 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.4% | 42.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | NATURAL STORM | 2.1% | 48.41 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.6% | 62.40 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 97.5
PLACE
9 29
11 22.5
12 65
QUINELLA
9,12 1,316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 118
9,12 372
11,12 242
FORECAST
9,12 2,384
TIERCE
9,12,11 10,968
TRIO
9,11,12 2,150
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 2,727
QUARTET
9,12,11,6 69,813
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/6/9 3,131
2/6/12 2,297
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/9,11,12 76,973
7TH DOUBLE
6/9 439
6/12 282.5
SIX UP
1/1/5/2/6/9 397,825
1,8/1,4/2,5/2,5/6,8/9,12 28,580
1 [K Teetan] —
4 [K W Lui] —