Happy Valley · 2024-09-18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT 1.39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 9.7 | N |
| 2 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 27.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT SR-/B1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | YELLOWFIN Led early XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 5.2 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | NATURAL STORM B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 83.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-18 was Class 2 over 1650m. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with FLAMINGO TRILLION second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CHILL CHIBI finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 15.1% | 6.64 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | CHILL CHIBI | 14.9% | 6.71 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | RED HARE KING | 11.6% | 8.61 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 11.6% | 8.61 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | OUTGATE | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | YELLOWFIN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO | 5.9% | 16.96 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT | 4.2% | 23.74 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.4% | 42.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | NATURAL STORM | 2.1% | 48.41 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.6% | 62.40 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 97.5
PLACE
9 29
11 22.5
12 65
QUINELLA
9,12 1,316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 118
9,12 372
11,12 242
FORECAST
9,12 2,384
TIERCE
9,12,11 10,968
TRIO
9,11,12 2,150
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 2,727
QUARTET
9,12,11,6 69,813
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/6/9 3,131
2/6/12 2,297
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/9,11,12 76,973
7TH DOUBLE
6/9 439
6/12 282.5
SIX UP
1/1/5/2/6/9 397,825
1,8/1,4/2,5/2,5/6,8/9,12 28,580
1 [K Teetan] —
4 [K W Lui] —