沙田 · 2024-09-28
第 6場
2024-09-28沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的DEAL COMPLETED勝出，贏出N。FORERUNNER獲得亞軍；JUMBO LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.1倍大熱門HAPPY DAILY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED 一路領先 B/TT 1.22.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 36.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 12 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND 後段發力 H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 23.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME 後段發力 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 19.0 | N |
| 5 | 5 | AMAZING RUN 後段發力 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 5 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GANGNAM STAR XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MY FLYING ANGEL CP E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 7.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ORIENTAL TYCOON M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 82.0 | 4-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST | 25.1% | 3.99 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING RUN | 14.7% | 6.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | FORERUNNER | 11.3% | 8.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | GANGNAM STAR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.7% | 14.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.8% | 20.67 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 4.6% | 21.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.5% | 22.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.0% | 105.15 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 0.6% | 170.41 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 364.5
PLACE
1 63.5
8 23.5
9 96
QUINELLA
8,9 1,798
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 256.5
1,9 871
8,9 494.5
FORECAST
9,8 2,662
TIERCE
9,8,1 55,461
TRIO
1,8,9 6,059
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 19,420
QUARTET
9,8,1,10 457,710
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,12/1,8,9 202,591
5TH DOUBLE
2/8 33
2/9 954.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,11/2,7,12/1,8,9 31,193,331
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,11/2,7,12/Any Combination 6,830