沙田 · 2024-10-06 · 09:20
第 9場
2024-10-06沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、C W Chang訓練的LADY'S CHOICE勝出，贏出SH。MIGHTY STRIDE獲得亞軍；DIVANO獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門DIVANO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H 1.08.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 6.6 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE CP1 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.3 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | DIVANO TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SKY FOREVER B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 43.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | RUN RAN RUN CP-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 78.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | KING OF DUBAI TT1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 8.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MOJAVE DESERT B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 13 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT H E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR B-/CP2 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 87.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | HONG KONG HALL TT P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MAGNIAC V-/B2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 85.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DIVANO | 49.9% | 2.00 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 14.2% | 7.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE | 9.0% | 11.06 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | HONG KONG HALL | 4.8% | 21.03 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | KING OF DUBAI | 3.7% | 27.18 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | MUST GO | 3.4% | 29.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.1% | 31.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | MOJAVE DESERT | 2.8% | 35.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 2.4% | 40.98 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | SKY FOREVER | 2.1% | 47.23 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | MAGNIAC | 2.1% | 48.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 1.5% | 65.66 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | RUN RAN RUN | 0.9% | 109.82 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 66
PLACE
1 22
5 10.1
6 18
QUINELLA
1,6 201
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 30.5
1,6 57
5,6 24
FORECAST
6,1 375
TIERCE
6,1,5 859
TRIO
1,5,6 70
FIRST 4
1,5,6,13 519
QUARTET
6,1,5,13 12,630
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 31.5
5/6 170.5