沙田 · 2024-10-06 · 14:25
第 4場
2024-10-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASTER TRILLION勝出，贏出1。SPICY SPANGLE獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門METRO WARRIOR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER TRILLION CP1 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SPICY SPANGLE TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 41.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 1.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BRILLIANT FIRE H1/XB1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | KA YING POWER B-/H-/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | INVINCIBLE DELIGHT H1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | DASH AVENUE B-/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 1 | 36.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | GUSTY FIGHTER CP1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 10 | 6.6 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 2 | ACE VICTORY K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 22.9% | 4.37 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | MASTER TRILLION | 14.6% | 6.86 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 7.6% | 13.17 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | INVINCIBLE DELIGHT | 5.7% | 17.40 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | DASH AVENUE | 5.5% | 18.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | KA YING POWER | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | SPICY SPANGLE | 2.7% | 37.07 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 2.3% | 42.61 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 104
PLACE
1 11
5 32.5
11 82
QUINELLA
5,11 2,357.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 47.5
1,11 101
5,11 541.5
FORECAST
5,11 3,541
TIERCE
5,11,1 13,341
TRIO
1,5,11 1,236
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 3,277
QUARTET
5,11,1,7 108,812
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,5,11 19,998
3RD DOUBLE
8/5 419
8/11 378.5