跑馬地 · 2024-10-16 · 13:50
第 6場
2024-10-16跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的BRAVE STAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。PRAWNS ELEVEN獲得亞軍；HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門HEALTHY HEALTHY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BRAVE STAR XB 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 1.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 1 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | RIDING HIGH H-/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | VICTOR THE RAPID XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 8.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | KING PROFIT TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 12 | 91.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MEGA BONUS V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 49.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | POSITIVE SMILE B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 91.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 29.9% | 3.35 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BRAVE STAR | 13.6% | 7.37 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 11.0% | 9.09 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 8.5% | 11.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 8.3% | 12.11 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 6.6% | 15.10 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 5.9% | 16.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 5.1% | 19.46 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | RIDING HIGH | 2.9% | 34.29 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | KING PROFIT | 2.9% | 35.07 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | MEGA BONUS | 2.7% | 36.66 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | POSITIVE SMILE | 2.6% | 37.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 121.5
PLACE
1 26
3 37.5
6 11
QUINELLA
1,3 926
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 204.5
1,6 39.5
3,6 58.5
FORECAST
1,3 1,694
TIERCE
1,3,6 3,286
TRIO
1,3,6 305
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 307
QUARTET
1,3,6,5 11,954
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,3,6 70,952
5TH DOUBLE
3/1 553.5
3/3 173.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,10/3,4,8/Any Combination 13,316