跑馬地 · 2024-10-30 · 11:45
第 2場
2024-10-30跑馬地第2場,Class 5,途程1650米。由M Chadwick策騎、M Newnham訓練的RIGHT HONOURABLE勝出,贏出1-1/4。RED MAVERICK獲得亞軍;WINNING SEVEN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門MEDIC ELITE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 B/XB 1.40.66 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RED MAVERICK 後段發力 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNING SEVEN 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MERCHANT PRINCE B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | RUNNING AHEAD 後段發力 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHARMANDER V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | KASA PAPA TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER WISE DRAGON CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 5 | 6.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | THE CONCENTRATION 早段領放 PC/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 32.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YEABOI B/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 7 | 15.0 | 22-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 22.7% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 20.0% | 5.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | KASA PAPA | 13.9% | 7.20 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | CHARMANDER | 9.4% | 10.62 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 7.2% | 13.84 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 7.0% | 14.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | YEABOI | 5.8% | 17.37 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.4% | 29.45 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 3.4% | 29.51 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.4% | 41.52 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 2.4% | 41.56 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.4% | 41.91 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 100.5
PLACE
8 38.5
10 29
12 42
QUINELLA
10,12 793.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 178
8,12 319
10,12 217
FORECAST
10,12 1,252
TIERCE
10,12,8 16,029
TRIO
8,10,12 3,758
FIRST 4
8,9,10,12 2,565
QUARTET
10,12,8,9 78,940
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST DOUBLE
9/10 1,216.5
9/12 502
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,11/8,10,12 435,039