Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 19:41
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB 1.40.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RED MAVERICK Closed strongly Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MERCHANT PRINCE B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHARMANDER V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | KASA PAPA TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER WISE DRAGON CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 5 | 6.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | THE CONCENTRATION Led early PC/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 32.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YEABOI B/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 7 | 15.0 | 22-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 5 over 1650m. RIGHT HONOURABLE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/4, with RED MAVERICK second and WINNING SEVEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 22.7% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 20.0% | 5.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | KASA PAPA | 13.9% | 7.20 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | CHARMANDER | 9.4% | 10.62 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 7.2% | 13.84 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 7.0% | 14.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | YEABOI | 5.8% | 17.37 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.4% | 29.45 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 3.4% | 29.51 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.4% | 41.52 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 2.4% | 41.56 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.4% | 41.91 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 100.5
PLACE
8 38.5
10 29
12 42
QUINELLA
10,12 793.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 178
8,12 319
10,12 217
FORECAST
10,12 1,252
TIERCE
10,12,8 16,029
TRIO
8,10,12 3,758
FIRST 4
8,9,10,12 2,565
QUARTET
10,12,8,9 78,940
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/10 1,216.5
9/12 502
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,11/8,10,12 435,039