Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 4 over 1200m. TRIUMPHANT MORE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with GLORY CLOUD second and RAGNARR third. The 3.5 favourite GLORY CLOUD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT MORE B1 1.10.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 4.1 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | RAGNARR XB-/H/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HAYDAY H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY MAN CP/H1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY DAY B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | LOVING VIBES CP/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 57.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PARTY WARRIOR B-/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | GLORY B CP/H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.2 | 22-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 33.9% | 2.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 21.2% | 4.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | HAYDAY | 9.6% | 10.45 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE | 7.0% | 14.21 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL | 4.3% | 23.42 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | RAGNARR | 4.1% | 24.31 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 4.0% | 25.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | PARTY WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.23 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | GLORY B | 3.7% | 27.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY DAY | 3.3% | 30.57 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVING VIBES | 2.7% | 37.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY MAN | 2.5% | 39.55 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 41
PLACE
5 18.5
6 15
10 45
QUINELLA
5,6 100
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 42
5,10 149
6,10 108.5
FORECAST
5,6 191
TIERCE
5,6,10 2,091
TRIO
5,6,10 603
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 739
QUARTET
5,6,10,2 14,148
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/5,6,10 302,487
5TH DOUBLE
2/5 1,433.5
2/6 141
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,6/2,3,10/5,6,10 7,989,737
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,6/2,3,10/Any Combination 159,794