Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 21:11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.40.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 35.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | HIGHLAND RAHY Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NINJA DERBY H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR B-/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SIXTH GENERATION V/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly V-/CP1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 140.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | U S S CONSTITUTION P-/H/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 8 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 6.2 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER TORNADO PC-/B2/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 20.0 | 45-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER BABY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m. CAPITAL LEGEND, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with HARMONY GALAXY second and HIGHLAND RAHY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite NINJA DERBY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 18.3% | 5.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 16.2% | 6.18 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 15.4% | 6.48 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | SIXTH GENERATION | 12.5% | 8.03 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | NINJA DERBY | 9.9% | 10.09 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR | 7.4% | 13.47 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | MASTER TORNADO | 6.4% | 15.60 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.06 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY GALAXY | 3.2% | 31.23 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 2.7% | 36.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 1.5% | 66.24 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 0.9% | 107.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 131.5
PLACE
2 49.5
3 87
10 21
QUINELLA
2,3 2,061
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 556.5
2,10 116.5
3,10 282
FORECAST
2,3 4,101
TIERCE
2,3,10 24,272
TRIO
2,3,10 3,578
FIRST 4
2,3,10,11 2,544
QUARTET
2,3,10,11 68,346
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/2/2 4,668
8/2/3 3,246
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 984
2/3 348.5