Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 14:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 3 over 1650m. DARING PURSUIT, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and SUPER UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite SUPER UNICORN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DARING PURSUIT Closed strongly TT 1.39.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 8.2 | N |
| 2 | 10 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 1.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | FRANTANCK Led early TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 4 | 49.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | JOLLY RULER Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | I CAN Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SAMARKAND CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 21.0 | 29-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 32 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN | 59.7% | 1.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | I CAN | 8.7% | 11.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR | 7.0% | 14.29 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 6.4% | 15.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE | 3.4% | 29.33 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | SAMARKAND | 3.2% | 31.46 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | FRANTANCK | 2.9% | 34.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | JOLLY RULER | 2.5% | 39.65 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | GALLANT WAKING | 2.4% | 41.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | DARING PURSUIT | 2.3% | 44.23 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | NEARLY FINE | 1.5% | 64.81 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 82
PLACE
9 24.5
10 21
11 10.5
QUINELLA
9,10 245.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 77.5
9,11 37
10,11 27.5
FORECAST
9,10 571
TIERCE
9,10,11 1,289
TRIO
9,10,11 154
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 891
QUARTET
9,10,11,3 28,341
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
5/9 890.5
5/10 70